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Persha Liga Monday, 16 Nov 2026
Chernihiv
Chernihiv
Home
L W W L W
2nd place
d ::
Chernihiv Arena · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Chernihiv Win
39% Probability
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Away
L W W L W
9th place
Our Prediction β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 2.41
39% probability Β· 1/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.64 – 1.36
🎯 Proj. 1 – 1
Win Probability
Chernihiv 39%
Draw 22%
Lokomotiv Kyiv 39%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Chernihiv
Draw
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Our AI tips 1 β€” 39% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Chernihiv meet Lokomotiv Kyiv in the Persha Liga at Chernihiv Arena on 2026-11-16 07:30 UTC.

Host side Chernihiv enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded.
Lokomotiv Kyiv arrive having secured 3 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Lokomotiv Kyiv hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Chernihiv.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 69% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 39% β€” model expects 1.78–1.77 (Chernihiv 39% Β· draw 22% Β· Lokomotiv Kyiv 39%; over 2.5 69%, BTTS 69%) (limited data β€” modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: Chernihiv favoured (1-1) Model Confidence: 39%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
3.9
Prediction Index
1
39%
Home
X
22%
Draw
2
39%
Away
60% Recent form 60%
95% Attack 95%
40% Defence 40%
20% Head-to-head 40%
39% Win probability 39%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
39% 2.41
Double Chance
1X
61% 1.54
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69% 1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69% 1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
69%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.64, xG Away: 1.36). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 69%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
L W W L W
3-0-2
W-D-L
8:5
Goals
1.8
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Chernihiv demonstrate stronger current momentum with 1.8 PPG compared to Lokomotiv Kyiv's 1.8 PPG.
Head to Head
16 Jun 2026 Chernihiv 0 – 0 Lokomotiv Kyiv
16 Jan 2026 Lokomotiv Kyiv 0 – 1 Chernihiv
16 Aug 2025 Chernihiv 2 – 0 Lokomotiv Kyiv
16 Mar 2025 Lokomotiv Kyiv 0 – 3 Chernihiv
16 Oct 2024 Chernihiv 0 – 0 Lokomotiv Kyiv
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Lokomotiv Kyiv hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Chernihiv.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
2 Chernihiv Chernihiv 24 16 5 3 +4 53
9 Lokomotiv Kyiv Lokomotiv Kyiv 24 14 7 3 +20 49

Chernihiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Persha Liga.

Chernihiv meet Lokomotiv Kyiv in the Persha Liga at Chernihiv Arena on 2026-11-16 07:30 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Chernihiv enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded. Meanwhile, Lokomotiv Kyiv arrive having secured 3 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Lokomotiv Kyiv hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Chernihiv. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 69% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.64 home, 1.36 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (69%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Chernihiv favoured (1-1) with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 2.41.
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