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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Monday, 16 Nov 2026
E
Eritrea
Home
W W L W W
1st place
d ::
Al Salam Stadium · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Eritrea Win
46% Probability
G
Guinea
Away
L W D L W
2nd place
Our Prediction β˜†β˜†β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 2.04
46% probability Β· 2/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.8 – 1.14
🎯 Proj. 1 – 1
Win Probability
Eritrea 46%
Draw 25%
Guinea 29%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Eritrea
Draw
Guinea
Our AI tips 1 β€” 46% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Eritrea meet Guinea in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification at Al Salam Stadium on 2026-11-16 13:00 UTC.

Host side Eritrea enter this contest having won 80% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Guinea arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (56%).

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 46% β€” model expects 1.6–1.22 (Eritrea 46% Β· draw 25% Β· Guinea 29%; over 2.5 54%, BTTS 56%) (limited data β€” modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: Eritrea favoured (1-1) Model Confidence: 46%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
4.6
Prediction Index
1
46%
Home
X
25%
Draw
2
29%
Away
80% Recent form 46%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 28%
40% Head-to-head 40%
46% Win probability 29%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46% 2.04
Double Chance
1X
71% 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54% 1.74
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
56% 1.68
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
54%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.8, xG Away: 1.14). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 54%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W L W W
4-0-1
W-D-L
10:4
Goals
2.4
PPG
L W D L W
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Eritrea demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2.4 PPG compared to Guinea's 1.4 PPG.
Head to Head
1
Draws
2
16 Jun 2026 Eritrea 2 – 0 Guinea
16 Jan 2026 Guinea 0 – 3 Eritrea
16 Aug 2025 Eritrea 0 – 0 Guinea
16 Mar 2025 Guinea 0 – 1 Eritrea
16 Oct 2024 Eritrea 2 – 0 Guinea
🀝 H2H Summary: Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Er Eritrea 24 10 4 10 +12 34
2 Gu Guinea 24 11 5 8 +12 38

Eritrea vs Guinea Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.

Eritrea meet Guinea in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification at Al Salam Stadium on 2026-11-16 13:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Eritrea enter this contest having won 80% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Guinea arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Head-to-head records show a finely balanced contest between these sides, with both teams claiming 2 wins each and 1 stalemates across their recent clashes. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (56%). With an expected goal tally of 2.94 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.8 home, 1.14 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (54%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Eritrea favoured (1-1) with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 2.04.
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