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Ligue 1 FT Sunday, 08 Nov 2026
Lens
Lens
Home
W W D L W
8th place
-
Full Time
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · 🌀️ 18°C
1
Lens Win
62% Probability
Marseille
Away
W W L W W
8th place
Our Prediction β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 1.52
62% probability Β· 4/5 confidence
Predicted Score
2 – 1
xG (Goals)
2.19 – 0.92
πŸ“ˆ Home Edge 62% 🎯 Proj. 2 – 1
Win Probability
Lens 62%
Draw 19%
Marseille 19%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Lens
Draw
Marseille
Our AI tips 1 β€” 62% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Lens meet Marseille in the Ligue 1 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on 2026-11-08 16:45 UTC.

Host side Lens enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Marseille arrive having secured 4 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lens hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Marseille and 1 draws.

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 71% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture.

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 62% β€” model expects 2.38–1.28 (Lens 62% Β· draw 19% Β· Marseille 19%; over 2.5 71%, BTTS 66%).
🎯 Prediction: Lens to win 2-1 Model Confidence: 62%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
6.2
Prediction Index
1
62%
Home
X
19%
Draw
2
19%
Away
66% Recent form 80%
95% Attack 95%
52% Defence 52%
60% Head-to-head 20%
62% Win probability 19%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62% 1.52
Double Chance
1X
81% 1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71% 1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66% 1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
71%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 3 (xG Home: 2.19, xG Away: 0.92). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 71%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
W W L W W
4-0-1
W-D-L
10:4
Goals
2.4
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Marseille hold the form edge heading into this tie with 2.4 PPG over their previous 5 games.
Head to Head
3
1
Draws
08 Jun 2026 Lens 3 – 0 Marseille
08 Jan 2026 Marseille 0 – 0 Lens
08 Aug 2025 Lens 1 – 0 Marseille
08 Mar 2025 Marseille 0 – 2 Lens
08 Oct 2024 Lens 3 – 0 Marseille
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lens hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Marseille and 1 draws.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
8 Lens Lens 24 15 6 3 +12 51
8 Ma Marseille 24 8 6 10 +12 30

Lens vs Marseille Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for Ligue 1.

Lens meet Marseille in the Ligue 1 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis on 2026-11-08 16:45 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Lens enter this contest having won 60% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2 points per game with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Marseille arrive having secured 4 wins and 0 draws across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at the Head to Head history over the last 5 meetings, Lens hold the advantage with 3 victories compared to 1 for Marseille and 1 draws. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

The statistics and expected goals (xG) point towards an open game, showing a 71% likelihood for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in this fixture. With an expected goal tally of 3.11 across 90 minutes (xG: 2.19 home, 0.92 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (71%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Lens to win 2-1 with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 1.52.
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