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UEFA Nations League Monday, 16 Nov 2026
Lithuania
Lithuania
Home
W W L W W
1st place
d ::
Darius and GirΔ—nas Stadium Β· 🌀️ 18Β°C
1
Lithuania Win
47% Probability
Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein
Away
D L W W L
10th place
Our Prediction β˜†β˜†β˜† confidence
Recommended Tip
1 @ 2.00
47% probability Β· 2/5 confidence
Predicted Score
1 – 1
xG (Goals)
1.83 – 1.12
🎯 Proj. 1 – 1
Win Probability
Lithuania 47%
Draw 25%
Liechtenstein 28%
πŸ—³οΈ Fan Prediction Poll

Who do you think will win?

Cast your prediction before kick-off

Vote cast:
Lithuania
Draw
Liechtenstein
Our AI tips 1 β€” 47% probability
Match Preview & AI Analysis Statistical Insights

Lithuania meet Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League at Darius and GirΔ—nas Stadium on 2026-11-16 14:00 UTC.

Host side Lithuania enter this contest having won 80% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Liechtenstein arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Liechtenstein hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Lithuania.

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (56%).

πŸ’‘ Note: 1 @ 47% β€” model expects 1.62–1.2 (Lithuania 47% Β· draw 25% Β· Liechtenstein 28%; over 2.5 54%, BTTS 56%) (limited data β€” modelled from recent results).
🎯 Prediction: Lithuania favoured (1-1) Model Confidence: 47%
AI Prediction Index Powered by BetPredictionTips
4.7
Prediction Index
1
47%
Home
X
25%
Draw
2
28%
Away
80% Recent form 46%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 28%
20% Head-to-head 40%
47% Win probability 28%
Predictions by Market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47% 2.00
Double Chance
1X
72% 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54% 1.74
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
56% 1.68
Over 1.5 Goals
No analysis for this market.
Goals & Trends
54%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg Goals
πŸ“Š Trend: Predicted total goals: 2 (xG Home: 1.83, xG Away: 1.12). Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 54%.
Recent Form β€” Last 5
W W L W W
4-0-1
W-D-L
10:4
Goals
2.4
PPG
D L W W L
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
⚑ Form Insight: Lithuania demonstrate stronger current momentum with 2.4 PPG compared to Liechtenstein's 1.4 PPG.
Head to Head
2
Draws
16 Jun 2026 Lithuania 0 – 0 Liechtenstein
16 Jan 2026 Liechtenstein 0 – 1 Lithuania
16 Aug 2025 Lithuania 2 – 0 Liechtenstein
16 Mar 2025 Liechtenstein 0 – 3 Lithuania
16 Oct 2024 Lithuania 0 – 0 Liechtenstein
🀝 H2H Summary: Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Liechtenstein hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Lithuania.
League Standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lithuania Lithuania 24 13 4 7 0 43
10 Liechtenstein Liechtenstein 24 10 8 6 +16 38

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein Prediction & Detailed Match Preview

In-depth statistical breakdown, expected goals analysis, and mathematical tips for UEFA Nations League.

Lithuania meet Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League at Darius and GirΔ—nas Stadium on 2026-11-16 14:00 UTC. This matchup features two sides looking to make an impact in the standings, with key points at stake in this phase of the competition.

Team Form & Performance

Host side Lithuania enter this contest having won 80% of their previous 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded. Meanwhile, Liechtenstein arrive having secured 2 wins and 1 draw across their last 5 fixtures, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head Record (H2H)

Looking at past encounters across 5 meetings, Liechtenstein hold the upper hand having won 2 games against 1 for Lithuania. Tactical setups in previous meetings demonstrate that neither manager takes unnecessary risks early in the match.

Goal Expectancy & Betting Trends

Goal expectancy metrics project a competitive duel with a balanced Both Teams To Score probability (56%). With an expected goal tally of 2.95 across 90 minutes (xG: 1.83 home, 1.12 away), value punters should note market trends surrounding Over 1.5 (78%) and Over 2.5 (54%).

πŸ† Final Model Verdict: Prediction: Lithuania favoured (1-1) with a recommended bet on 1 at current estimated odds of 2.00.
πŸ‘‘

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